Eredivisie - Europa League Play-offs - Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior
Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 17:45
Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
58.9% confidence
AZ Alkmaar
Predicted Score
1
AZ Alkmaar
-
0
Excelsior
xG: 1.1 - 0.9
£10 bet returns:
£13.00 (odds: 1.30)
Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and +1.5 goals
Win Probability:
AZ Alkmaar (45.3%)
Draw (31.9%)
Excelsior (22.8%)
Team Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Recent Form
36%
64%
Attack Strength
54%
46%
Defense Strength
50%
50%
Head to Head
93%
7%
Goals
92%
8%
Poisson Distribution
72%
28%
Overall
66%
33%
Head to Head
7
AZ Alkmaar wins
1
Draws
3
Excelsior wins
Last 5 meetings
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1
Excelsior
Feb 2026
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 23
AZ Alkmaar
8 - 0
Excelsior
Jul 2024
Friendlies Clubs - Club Friendlies 4
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 0
Excelsior
Mar 2024
Eredivisie - Europa League Play-offs - Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Excelsior
Nov 2023
Eredivisie - Europa League Play-offs - Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar
5 - 0
Excelsior
Feb 2023
Eredivisie - Europa League Play-offs - Semi-finals
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.30 | £13.00 |
Draw | 5.75 | £57.50 |
Away | 8.50 | £85.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Venue Information
AFAS Stadion
Alkmaar
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