Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 56.4%
Predicted Score
2
Burnley
-
1
Derby
xG: 1.6 - 1.2
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Double chance : Burnley or draw
Burnley
Derby
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Burnley
Derby
Recent Form
40%
60%
Attack Strength
63%
38%
Defense Strength
45%
55%
Head to Head
75%
25%
Goals
75%
25%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
Overall
58%
42.2%
Head to Head
7
Burnley wins
4
Draws
0
Derby wins
Last 5 meetings
Burnley
2 - 1
Derby
Aug 2025
League Cup - 3rd Round
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Apr 2025
Championship - Regular Season - 11
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Dec 2024
Championship - Regular Season - 11
Burnley
4 - 1
Derby
Jan 2016
Championship - Regular Season - 11
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Sep 2015
Championship - Regular Season - 11
Betting Odds
Venue Information
Turf Moor
Burnley
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