Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
56.6% confidence
Burnley
Predicted Score
2
Burnley
-
1
Derby
xG: 1.6 - 1.2
£10.00 bet returns:
£18.00 (odds: 1.80)
Double chance : Burnley or draw
Win Probability:
Burnley (43.5%)
Draw (32.3%)
Derby (24.2%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Burnley
Derby
Recent Form
40%
60%
Attack Strength
63%
38%
Defense Strength
45%
55%
Head to Head
75%
25%
Goals
75%
25%
Poisson Distribution
51%
49%
Overall
58%
42%
Head to Head
7
Burnley wins
4
Draws
0
Derby wins
Last 5 meetings
Burnley
2 - 1
Derby
Aug 2025
League Cup - 2nd Round
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Apr 2025
Championship - Regular Season - 41
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Dec 2024
Championship - Regular Season - 41
Burnley
4 - 1
Derby
Jan 2016
Championship - Regular Season - 41
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Sep 2015
Championship - Regular Season - 41
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.80 | £18.00 |
Draw | 3.60 | £36.00 |
Away | 4.33 | £43.30 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Turf Moor
Burnley
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