Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
55.5% confidence
Birmingham
Predicted Score
1
Derby
-
2
Birmingham
xG: 1.3 - 1.6
£10.00 bet returns:
£22.00 (odds: 2.20)
Double chance : draw or Birmingham
Win Probability:
Derby (24.8%)
Draw (32.5%)
Birmingham (42.7%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Derby
Birmingham
Recent Form
36%
64%
Attack Strength
42%
58%
Defense Strength
38%
63%
Head to Head
38%
62%
Goals
42%
58%
Poisson Distribution
14%
86%
Overall
35%
65%
Head to Head
6
Derby wins
4
Draws
2
Birmingham wins
Last 5 meetings
Derby
1 - 0
Birmingham
Mar 2026
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
1 - 1
Birmingham
Dec 2025
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
2 - 2
Birmingham
Jan 2022
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
0 - 2
Birmingham
Sep 2021
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
1 - 2
Birmingham
Apr 2021
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home | 3.10 | £31.00 |
Draw | 3.25 | £32.50 |
Away Smart Pick | 2.20 | £22.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Where to Watch
United States

CBS Sports Network USA
Australia

BeIn Sports 2 Australia
Bulgaria

Diema Sport 2 BG
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