Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 55.5%
Predicted Score
1
Derby
-
2
Birmingham
xG: 1.4 - 1.7
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Double chance : draw or Birmingham
Derby
Birmingham
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Derby
Birmingham
Recent Form
40%
60%
Attack Strength
33%
67%
Defense Strength
47%
53%
Head to Head
38%
62%
Goals
42%
58%
Poisson Distribution
20%
80%
Overall
36.7%
63.3%
Head to Head
6
Derby wins
4
Draws
2
Birmingham wins
Last 5 meetings
Derby
1 - 0
Birmingham
Mar 2026
Championship - Regular Season - 6
Derby
1 - 1
Birmingham
Dec 2025
Championship - Regular Season - 6
Derby
2 - 2
Birmingham
Jan 2022
Championship - Regular Season - 6
Derby
0 - 2
Birmingham
Sep 2021
Championship - Regular Season - 6
Derby
1 - 2
Birmingham
Apr 2021
Championship - Regular Season - 6
Betting Odds
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