Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 54.0%
£10.00 bet returns: £26.20 (odds: 2.62)
Predicted Score
1
Derby
-
2
Stoke City
xG: 1.3 - 1.8
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Double chance : draw or Stoke City
Derby
Stoke City
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Derby
Stoke City
Recent Form
17%
83%
Attack Strength
31%
69%
Defense Strength
44%
56%
Head to Head
50%
50%
Goals
58%
42%
Poisson Distribution
34%
66%
Overall
39%
61%
Head to Head
5
Derby wins
4
Draws
3
Stoke City wins
Last 5 meetings
Derby
2 - 0
Stoke City
Apr 2026
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
1 - 3
Stoke City
Aug 2025
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
0 - 0
Stoke City
May 2025
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
1 - 2
Stoke City
Nov 2024
Championship - Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals
Derby
3 - 0
Stoke City
Jul 2023
Friendlies Clubs - Club Friendlies 1
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home | 2.55 | £25.50 |
Draw | 3.25 | £32.50 |
Away Smart Pick | 2.62 | £26.20 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Pride Park Stadium
Derby
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