Championship - Regular Season - 42
Southampton vs Derby
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
57.2% confidence
Southampton
Predicted Score
1
Southampton
-
0
Derby
xG: 1.1 - 0.6
£10 bet returns:
£16.50 (odds: 1.65)
Double chance : Southampton or draw
Win Probability:
Southampton (44%)
Draw (32.2%)
Derby (23.8%)
Team Comparison
Southampton
Derby
Recent Form
59%
41%
Attack Strength
65%
35%
Defense Strength
57%
43%
Head to Head
64%
36%
Goals
63%
38%
Poisson Distribution
60%
40%
Overall
61%
38%
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton
M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Achilles Tendon Injury
Derby
C. Elder
Toe Injury
J. Vickers
Groin Injury
J. Widell Zetterstrom
Muscle Injury
S. Szmodics
Injury
Head to Head
1
Southampton wins
3
Draws
1
Derby wins
Last 5 meetings
Southampton
1 - 1
Derby
Oct 2025
Championship - Regular Season - 5
Southampton
4 - 4
Derby
Jan 2019
FA Cup - 1st Round Qualifying
Southampton
2 - 2
Derby
Jan 2019
FA Cup - 1st Round Qualifying
Southampton
4 - 0
Derby
Feb 2012
Championship - Regular Season - 5
Southampton
1 - 1
Derby
Oct 2011
Championship - Regular Season - 5
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.65 | £16.50 |
Draw | 3.90 | £39.00 |
Away | 4.75 | £47.50 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Venue Information
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
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