Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
54.3% confidence
Manchester City
Predicted Score
2
Manchester City
-
1
Aston Villa
xG: 1.4 - 1.0
Double chance : Manchester City or draw
Win Probability:
Manchester City (41.8%)
Draw (32.7%)
Aston Villa (25.5%)
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Team Comparison
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Recent Form
61%
39%
Attack Strength
50%
50%
Defense Strength
71%
29%
Head to Head
40%
60%
Goals
54%
46%
Poisson Distribution
78%
22%
Overall
59%
41%
Head to Head
7
Manchester City wins
1
Draws
3
Aston Villa wins
Last 5 meetings
Manchester City
0 - 1
Aston Villa
Oct 2025
Premier League - Regular Season - 12
Manchester City
2 - 1
Aston Villa
Apr 2025
Premier League - Regular Season - 12
Manchester City
1 - 2
Aston Villa
Dec 2024
Premier League - Regular Season - 12
Manchester City
4 - 1
Aston Villa
Apr 2024
Premier League - Regular Season - 12
Manchester City
0 - 1
Aston Villa
Dec 2023
Premier League - Regular Season - 12
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