Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
55.6% confidence
Ajax
Predicted Score
3
Ajax
-
1
Excelsior
xG: 2.9 - 1.6
£10.00 bet returns:
£13.00 (odds: 1.30)
Combo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goals
Win Probability:
Ajax (42.8%)
Draw (32.5%)
Excelsior (24.8%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Ajax
Excelsior
Recent Form
59%
41%
Attack Strength
65%
35%
Defense Strength
50%
50%
Head to Head
50%
50%
Goals
55%
45%
Poisson Distribution
28%
72%
Overall
51%
48%
Head to Head
7
Ajax wins
4
Draws
1
Excelsior wins
Last 5 meetings
Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior
Feb 2026
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 19
Ajax
1 - 2
Excelsior
Nov 2025
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 19
Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior
Apr 2024
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 19
Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior
Aug 2023
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 19
Ajax
4 - 1
Excelsior
Jan 2023
Eredivisie - Regular Season - 19
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.30 | £13.00 |
Draw | 6.00 | £60.00 |
Away | 8.50 | £85.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Johan Cruijff Arena
Amsterdam
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