Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 8

Arouca vs Estrela

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:30

Arouca

Home

Not Started

Estrela

Away

Prediction Overview

Win probability

35.9%28.8%35.3%

AroucaDrawEstrela

Match winner prediction

Arouca — Home Win

Model confidence: 35.9%

£10.00 bet returns: £21.00 (odds: 2.10)

Predicted Score

Arouca

Estrela

xG: 1.7 - 1.8

Also worth considering

From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.

Combo Double chance : Arouca or draw and +1.5 goals

Recent form

Arouca

Estrela

Match Preview

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Team Comparison

Arouca

Estrela

Recent Form

38%

62%

Attack Strength

33%

67%

Defense Strength

59%

41%

Head to Head

50%

Goals

44%

56%

Poisson Distribution

69%

31%

Overall

48.8%

51.2%

Head to Head

Arouca wins

Draws

Estrela wins

Last 5 meetings

Arouca

1 - 0

Estrela