Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
40.4% confidence
Arouca
Predicted Score
1
Arouca
-
0
Estrela
xG: 0.8 - 0.8
£10 bet returns:
£21.50 (odds: 2.15)
Double chance : Arouca or draw
Win Probability:
Arouca (40.4%)
Draw (32.9%)
Estrela (26.7%)
Team Comparison
Arouca
Estrela
Recent Form
60%
40%
Attack Strength
42%
58%
Defense Strength
54%
46%
Head to Head
50%
50%
Goals
54%
46%
Poisson Distribution
56%
44%
Overall
52%
47%
Head to Head
2
Arouca wins
1
Draws
2
Estrela wins
Last 5 meetings
Arouca
1 - 3
Estrela
Dec 2025
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 14
Arouca
1 - 0
Estrela
Apr 2025
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 14
Arouca
1 - 2
Estrela
Dec 2024
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 14
Arouca
0 - 0
Estrela
May 2024
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 14
Arouca
4 - 1
Estrela
Dec 2023
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 14
Team Formations
Home Team
4-2-3-1
27 matches
4-3-3
1 match
5-4-1
1 match
Away Team
3-4-3
9 matches
4-2-3-1
8 matches
5-3-2
3 matches
4-3-3
3 matches
3-1-4-2
2 matches
4-1-4-1
2 matches
3-4-2-1
1 match
3-5-2
1 match
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 2.15 | £21.50 |
Draw | 3.00 | £30.00 |
Away | 3.75 | £37.50 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Match Highlights
Venue Information
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca
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