Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 59.9%
£10.00 bet returns: £18.00 (odds: 1.80)
Predicted Score
2
Arouca
-
0
Nacional
xG: 1.8 - 0.8
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Winner : Arouca
Arouca
Nacional
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Arouca
Nacional
Recent Form
73%
27%
Attack Strength
56%
44%
Defense Strength
75%
25%
Head to Head
80%
20%
Goals
73%
27%
Poisson Distribution
86%
14%
Overall
73.8%
26.2%
Head to Head
6
Arouca wins
4
Draws
2
Nacional wins
Last 5 meetings
Arouca
3 - 0
Nacional
Feb 2026
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 17
Arouca
2 - 1
Nacional
Sep 2025
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 17
Arouca
2 - 1
Nacional
Feb 2025
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 17
Arouca
1 - 0
Nacional
Aug 2024
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 17
Arouca
0 - 1
Nacional
May 2018
Segunda Liga - Regular Season - 12
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.80 | £18.00 |
Draw | 3.60 | £36.00 |
Away | 4.10 | £41.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Aruca
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