Prediction Overview
Win probability
41.5%32.8%25.7%
NacionalDrawAlverca
Lost
Match winner prediction
Model confidence: 54.0%
Predicted Score
2
Nacional
-
1
Alverca
xG: 1.8 - 1.2
Also worth considering
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Winner : Nacional
Recent form
Nacional
Alverca
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Nacional
Alverca
Recent Form
67%
33%
Attack Strength
55%
45%
Defense Strength
56%
44%
Head to Head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Poisson Distribution
87%
13%
Overall
60.8%
39.2%
Head to Head
1
Nacional wins
0
Draws
1
Alverca wins
Last 2 meetings
Nacional
1 - 0
Alverca
Apr 2026
W
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 15
Nacional
0 - 1
Alverca
Dec 2025
W
Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 15
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