Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 57.6%
Predicted Score
1
Atletico Madrid
-
2
Barcelona
xG: 1.1 - 1.3
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Double chance : draw or Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
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Team Comparison
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Recent Form
44%
56%
Attack Strength
44%
56%
Defense Strength
30%
70%
Head to Head
20%
80%
Goals
39%
61%
Poisson Distribution
56%
44%
Overall
38.8%
61.2%
Head to Head
4
Atletico Madrid wins
1
Draws
10
Barcelona wins
Last 5 meetings
Atletico Madrid
1 - 2
Barcelona
Apr 2026
UEFA Champions League - Quarter-finals
Atletico Madrid
2 - 0
Barcelona
Apr 2026
UEFA Champions League - Group Stage - 1
Atletico Madrid
0 - 3
Barcelona
Mar 2026
Copa del Rey - Semi-finals
Atletico Madrid
4 - 0
Barcelona
Feb 2026
Copa del Rey - Semi-finals
Atletico Madrid
1 - 3
Barcelona
Dec 2025
La Liga - Regular Season - 29
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