Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 60.5%
Predicted Score
3
Real Madrid
-
1
Rayo Vallecano
xG: 2.8 - 1.4
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Combo Winner : Real Madrid and +2.5 goals
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
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Team Comparison
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Recent Form
69%
31%
Attack Strength
59%
41%
Defense Strength
77%
23%
Head to Head
75%
25%
Goals
57%
43%
Poisson Distribution
93%
7%
Overall
71.7%
28.3%
Head to Head
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Draws
2
Rayo Vallecano wins
Last 5 meetings
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Feb 2026
La Liga - Regular Season - 26
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Nov 2025
La Liga - Regular Season - 26
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Mar 2025
La Liga - Regular Season - 26
Real Madrid
3 - 3
Rayo Vallecano
Dec 2024
La Liga - Regular Season - 26
Real Madrid
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Feb 2024
La Liga - Regular Season - 26
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