Primera División - Apertura - Regular Season - 13
Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
Monday, April 27, 2026 at 22:30
Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
54.1% confidence
Defensor Sporting
Predicted Score
1
Defensor Sporting
-
0
Progreso
xG: 0.8 - 0.6
£10 bet returns:
£17.50 (odds: 1.75)
Combo Double chance : Defensor Sporting or draw and -3.5 goals
Win Probability:
Defensor Sporting (41.6%)
Draw (32.8%)
Progreso (25.7%)
Team Comparison
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Recent Form
55%
45%
Attack Strength
40%
60%
Defense Strength
73%
27%
Head to Head
50%
50%
Goals
57%
43%
Poisson Distribution
79%
21%
Overall
59%
41%
Head to Head
5
Defensor Sporting wins
3
Draws
4
Progreso wins
Last 5 meetings
Defensor Sporting
0 - 0
Progreso
Jan 2026
Copa De La Liga Auf - Round of 16
Defensor Sporting
3 - 2
Progreso
Oct 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 6
Defensor Sporting
1 - 2
Progreso
Apr 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 6
Defensor Sporting
3 - 0
Progreso
Nov 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 6
Defensor Sporting
1 - 1
Progreso
Jun 2024
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 6
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.75 | £17.50 |
Draw | 3.00 | £30.00 |
Away | 4.50 | £45.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Venue Information
Estadio Luis Franzini
Montevideo
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