Primera División - Apertura - Regular Season - 14
Penarol vs Defensor Sporting
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 22:30
Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
57.6% confidence
Penarol
Predicted Score
1
Penarol
-
0
Defensor Sporting
xG: 0.7 - 0.7
£10 bet returns:
£16.70 (odds: 1.67)
Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals
Win Probability:
Penarol (44.3%)
Draw (32.2%)
Defensor Sporting (23.6%)
Team Comparison
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Recent Form
33%
67%
Attack Strength
50%
50%
Defense Strength
30%
70%
Head to Head
100%
0%
Goals
91%
9%
Poisson Distribution
60%
40%
Overall
52%
47%
Head to Head
10
Penarol wins
1
Draws
1
Defensor Sporting wins
Last 5 meetings
Penarol
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
Nov 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 4
Penarol
2 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Oct 2025
Copa Uruguay - Semi-Finals
Penarol
3 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Jun 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 4
Penarol
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
May 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 4
Penarol
2 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Nov 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 4
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.67 | £16.70 |
Draw | 3.25 | £32.50 |
Away | 5.00 | £50.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Latest News
AsianConnect88
20% bonus up to €400 on first deposit
18+. New customers only. 20% bonus on first deposit, max €400. T&Cs apply.