Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
58.1% confidence
Penarol
Predicted Score
1
Penarol
-
0
Defensor Sporting
xG: 0.7 - 0.7
£10.00 bet returns:
£16.70 (odds: 1.67)
Combo Double chance : Penarol or draw and -3.5 goals
Win Probability:
Penarol (44.7%)
Draw (32%)
Defensor Sporting (23.3%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Recent Form
33%
67%
Attack Strength
50%
50%
Defense Strength
30%
70%
Head to Head
100%
0%
Goals
91%
9%
Poisson Distribution
59%
41%
Overall
52%
47%
Head to Head
11
Penarol wins
1
Draws
1
Defensor Sporting wins
Last 5 meetings
Penarol
2 - 0
Defensor Sporting
May 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Torneo Intermedio - 2
Penarol
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
Nov 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 4
Penarol
2 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Oct 2025
Copa Uruguay - Semi-Finals
Penarol
3 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Jun 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 13
Penarol
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
May 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 13
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.67 | £16.70 |
Draw | 3.30 | £33.00 |
Away | 4.75 | £47.50 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Montevideo
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