Primera División - Apertura - Regular Season - 10
Progreso vs Penarol
Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 22:00
Progreso
Home
VS
Penarol
Away
Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
59.7% confidence
Penarol
Predicted Score
0
Progreso
-
1
Penarol
xG: 0.8 - 0.9
£10 bet returns:
£13.80 (odds: 1.38)
Double chance : draw or Penarol
Win Probability:
Progreso (22.3%)
Draw (31.7%)
Penarol (45.9%)
Team Comparison
Progreso
Penarol
Recent Form
38%
63%
Attack Strength
47%
53%
Defense Strength
36%
64%
Head to Head
0%
100%
Goals
21%
79%
Poisson Distribution
15%
85%
Overall
31%
68%
Head to Head
0
Progreso wins
3
Draws
8
Penarol wins
Last 5 meetings
Progreso
1 - 2
Penarol
Aug 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 14
Progreso
1 - 3
Penarol
Feb 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Progreso
1 - 5
Penarol
Nov 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 14
Progreso
0 - 2
Penarol
Jun 2024
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Progreso
1 - 3
Penarol
May 2024
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home | 7.00 | £70.00 |
Draw | 3.90 | £39.00 |
Away Smart Pick | 1.38 | £13.80 |
* Returns shown are per £10 bet
Venue Information
Parque Abraham Paladino
Montevideo
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