Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
62.0% confidence
Penarol
Predicted Score
2
Penarol
-
1
Progreso
xG: 2.0 - 1.3
£10.00 bet returns:
£12.70 (odds: 1.27)
Double chance : Penarol or draw
Win Probability:
Penarol (47.7%)
Draw (31.4%)
Progreso (20.9%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Penarol
Progreso
Recent Form
59%
41%
Attack Strength
53%
47%
Defense Strength
67%
33%
Head to Head
100%
0%
Goals
82%
18%
Poisson Distribution
72%
28%
Overall
66%
33%
Head to Head
9
Penarol wins
3
Draws
0
Progreso wins
Last 5 meetings
Penarol
2 - 0
Progreso
Apr 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Penarol
2 - 1
Progreso
Aug 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 14
Penarol
3 - 1
Progreso
Feb 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Penarol
5 - 1
Progreso
Nov 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 14
Penarol
2 - 0
Progreso
Jun 2024
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 14
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 1.27 | £12.70 |
Draw | 5.00 | £50.00 |
Away | 9.00 | £90.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
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