Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
54.7% confidence
Progreso
Predicted Score
1
Progreso
-
0
Cerro
xG: 1.0 - 0.9
£10.00 bet returns:
£22.50 (odds: 2.25)
Combo Double chance : Progreso or draw and -3.5 goals
Win Probability:
Progreso (42.1%)
Draw (32.6%)
Cerro (25.2%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Progreso
Cerro
Recent Form
38%
63%
Attack Strength
29%
71%
Defense Strength
60%
40%
Head to Head
71%
29%
Goals
67%
33%
Poisson Distribution
61%
39%
Overall
54%
45%
Head to Head
6
Progreso wins
4
Draws
2
Cerro wins
Last 5 meetings
Progreso
1 - 0
Cerro
Mar 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Progreso
2 - 0
Cerro
Oct 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 3
Progreso
0 - 0
Cerro
Apr 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Progreso
0 - 1
Cerro
Sep 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 3
Progreso
3 - 2
Cerro
Mar 2024
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 2.25 | £22.50 |
Draw | 2.90 | £29.00 |
Away | 3.00 | £30.00 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Parque Abraham Paladino
Montevideo
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