Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
48.4% confidence
Progreso
Predicted Score
1
Progreso
-
0
Danubio
xG: 0.8 - 0.7
£10.00 bet returns:
£26.20 (odds: 2.62)
Combo Double chance : Progreso or draw and -3.5 goals
Win Probability:
Progreso (37.2%)
Draw (28.8%)
Danubio (33.9%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Progreso
Danubio
Recent Form
50%
50%
Attack Strength
50%
50%
Defense Strength
40%
60%
Head to Head
62%
38%
Goals
55%
45%
Poisson Distribution
46%
54%
Overall
50%
49%
Head to Head
7
Progreso wins
4
Draws
2
Danubio wins
Last 5 meetings
Progreso
2 - 1
Danubio
May 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Progreso
2 - 2
Danubio
Feb 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Progreso
1 - 0
Danubio
Aug 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Clausura - 3
Progreso
0 - 1
Danubio
May 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Progreso
1 - 1
Danubio
Feb 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Apertura - 3
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 2.62 | £26.20 |
Draw | 2.90 | £29.00 |
Away | 2.55 | £25.50 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Parque Abraham Paladino
Montevideo
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