Prediction Overview
Model confidence: 48.9%
£10.00 bet returns: £25.50 (odds: 2.55)
Predicted Score
2
Progreso
-
1
Defensor Sporting
xG: 2.0 - 1.4
From our data feed — may reference a different market to the pick above.
Double chance : Progreso or draw
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
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Team Comparison
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Recent Form
71%
29%
Attack Strength
50%
50%
Defense Strength
67%
33%
Head to Head
40%
60%
Goals
38%
62%
Poisson Distribution
44%
56%
Overall
51.7%
48.3%
Head to Head
4
Progreso wins
3
Draws
6
Defensor Sporting wins
Last 5 meetings
Progreso
0 - 1
Defensor Sporting
Apr 2026
Primera División - Apertura - Regular Season - 3
Progreso
0 - 0
Defensor Sporting
Jan 2026
Copa De La Liga Auf - Round of 16
Progreso
2 - 3
Defensor Sporting
Oct 2025
Primera División - Clausura - Regular Season - 3
Progreso
2 - 1
Defensor Sporting
Apr 2025
Primera División - Apertura - Regular Season - 3
Progreso
0 - 3
Defensor Sporting
Nov 2024
Primera División - Clausura - Regular Season - 3
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds | Returns |
|---|---|---|
Home Smart Pick | 2.55 | £25.50 |
Draw | 3.10 | £31.00 |
Away | 2.45 | £24.50 |
* Returns shown are per £10.00 bet
Venue Information
Parque Abraham Paladino
Montevideo
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