Under 1.5 Goals Predictions for Today — Monday, 4 May 2026

Under 1.5 goals wins if the match ends with 0 or 1 total goals. Scores of 0-0, 1-0, and 0-1 all settle as winners — anything from 1-1 upwards loses.

Our model surfaces fixtures where combined expected goals (xG) reach only 1.4 or less. This typically means two defensive sides meeting, or a heavy mismatch where the favoured side is expected to grind out a clean sheet rather than rack up goals.

The Italian Serie A, Greek Super League, and lower-table fixtures in defensive leagues regularly produce qualifying matches. Cup competitions and end-of-season dead rubbers can also qualify.

Under 1.5 typically prices between 2.50 and 4.00 — a high-odds market because most football matches produce 2 or more goals. Our picks aim to find the fixtures where the true probability significantly exceeds the implied price.

Under 1.5 qualifiers are intentionally rare — typically a handful per day across our coverage. Volume varies significantly by season phase and competition mix.

Under 1.5 carries higher individual risk than other goals markets, so it's often used as a single bet rather than in long accumulators. A 2-leg "Under 1.5 + Under 1.5" combo can still produce attractive odds.