Home Win to Nil Predictions for Today — Monday, 4 May 2026

Win to Nil is a single bet that requires the chosen team to win the match without conceding any goals. Scores like 1-0, 2-0, and 3-0 all win — any goal conceded loses the bet, even if the team still wins.

Our model looks for matches where the home team projects 1.5+ expected goals AND the away team projects 0.4 xG or less, AND we hold at least 60% confidence in the home win. All three conditions must be met.

Home Win to Nil typically prices between 2.50 and 5.00 depending on the favourite's strength and the opposition's attacking record. It's a higher-odds market than a straight match win.

A regular home win pays out as long as the home team wins, regardless of the score. Win to Nil specifically requires a clean sheet on top of the win — making it harder to land, but with significantly higher odds.

Leagues with stronger defensive records (Serie A, Ligue 1, lower divisions) tend to produce more win-to-nil opportunities. Big home favourites in cup competitions are also common qualifiers.

Yes, but the combined odds escalate quickly because each leg requires a clean sheet. A 2- or 3-leg win-to-nil acca can produce dramatic returns. Stake conservatively.