Prediction Overview
Our Prediction:
61.0% confidence
Ethiopia
Predicted Score
1
Ethiopia
-
0
Malawi
xG: 0.8 - 0.0
Combo Double chance : Ethiopia or draw and -2.5 goals
Win Probability:
Ethiopia (46.9%)
Draw (34%)
Malawi (19.1%)
Match Preview
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Team Comparison
Ethiopia
Malawi
Recent Form
100%
0%
Attack Strength
100%
0%
Defense Strength
100%
0%
Head to Head
64%
36%
Goals
75%
25%
Poisson Distribution
100%
0%
Overall
69%
30%
Head to Head
2
Ethiopia wins
1
Draws
1
Malawi wins
Last 4 meetings
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Malawi
Jun 2026
Friendlies - Friendlies 3
Ethiopia
0 - 0
Malawi
Jun 2023
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Group Stage - 1
Ethiopia
1 - 2
Malawi
Jun 2022
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Group Stage - 1
Ethiopia
4 - 0
Malawi
Mar 2021
Friendlies - Friendlies 3
Betting Odds
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